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Xi Jinping out before 2027?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

97.3%

Change (observed window)

+94.4 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Xi Jinping out before 2027?100%50%0%2026-10-17 01:20: 3% — display, vol 15016983.5564180022026-10-17 01:20: 97% — display, vol 15016983.5564180022026-10-17 01:40: 3% — display, vol 15016983.5564180022026-10-17 01:40: 97% — display, vol 15016983.5564180022026-10-17 02:00: 3% — display, vol 15016983.5564182026-10-17 02:00: 97% — display, vol 15016983.5564182026-10-17 02:20: 3% — display, vol 15016983.5564179962026-10-17 02:20: 97% — display, vol 15016983.5564179962026-10-17 02:40: 3% — display, vol 15017155.9702120072026-10-17 02:40: 97% — display, vol 15017155.9702120072026-10-17 03:00: 3% — display, vol 15017328.3802120022026-10-17 03:00: 97% — display, vol 15017328.3802120022026-10-17 03:20: 3% — display, vol 15017328.3802120032026-10-17 03:20: 97% — display, vol 15017328.3802120032026-10-17 03:40: 3% — display, vol 15017328.3802122026-10-17 03:40: 97% — display, vol 15017328.3802122026-10-17 04:00: 3% — display, vol 15017343.8123109922026-10-17 04:00: 97% — display, vol 15017343.8123109922026-10-17 04:21: 3% — display, vol 15018059.6123109852026-10-17 04:21: 97% — display, vol 15018059.6123109852026-10-17 04:40: 3% — display, vol 15018059.6123109852026-10-17 04:40: 97% — display, vol 15018059.6123109852026-10-17 05:00: 3% — display, vol 15018059.6123109832026-10-17 05:00: 97% — display, vol 15018059.6123109832026-10-17 05:21: 3% — display, vol 15018059.6123110042026-10-17 05:21: 97% — display, vol 15018059.6123110042026-10-17 05:40: 3% — display, vol 15018131.6287719892026-10-17 05:40: 97% — display, vol 15018131.6287719892026-10-17 06:00: 3% — display, vol 15018268.4600482026-10-17 06:00: 97% — display, vol 15018268.4600482026-10-17 06:20: 3% — display, vol 15018371.3407070042026-10-17 06:20: 97% — display, vol 15018371.3407070042026-10-17 06:40: 3% — display, vol 15018371.3407070022026-10-17 06:40: 97% — display, vol 15018371.3407070022026-10-17 07:00: 3% — display, vol 15018371.3407069972026-10-17 07:00: 97% — display, vol 15018371.3407069972026-10-17 07:20: 3% — display, vol 15018371.3407072026-10-17 07:20: 97% — display, vol 15018371.3407072026-10-17 07:40: 3% — display, vol 15018495.8192669952026-10-17 07:40: 97% — display, vol 15018495.8192669952026-10-17 08:00: 3% — display, vol 15018495.8292669992026-10-17 08:00: 97% — display, vol 15018495.8292669992026-10-17 08:20: 3% — display, vol 15019025.8292670052026-10-17 08:20: 97% — display, vol 15019025.8292670052026-10-17 08:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800012026-10-17 08:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800012026-10-17 09:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800142026-10-17 09:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800142026-10-17 09:20: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 09:20: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 09:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800082026-10-17 09:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800082026-10-17 10:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 10:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 10:21: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800052026-10-17 10:21: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800052026-10-17 10:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 10:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 11:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410799942026-10-17 11:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410799942026-10-17 11:20: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 11:20: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410800032026-10-17 11:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 11:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 12:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410799942026-10-17 12:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410799942026-10-17 12:20: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410799952026-10-17 12:20: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410799952026-10-17 12:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410799922026-10-17 12:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410799922026-10-17 13:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 13:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 13:20: 3% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 13:20: 97% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 13:40: 3% — display, vol 15076013.7410799922026-10-17 13:40: 97% — display, vol 15076013.7410799922026-10-17 14:00: 3% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 14:00: 97% — display, vol 15076013.741082026-10-17 14:20: 3% — display, vol 15076065.1285240022026-10-17 14:20: 97% — display, vol 15076065.1285240022026-10-17 14:40: 3% — display, vol 15076065.1285240022026-10-17 14:40: 97% — display, vol 15076065.1285240022026-10-17 15:00: 3% — display, vol 15076156.598192026-10-17 15:00: 97% — display, vol 15076156.598192026-10-17 15:20: 3% — display, vol 15076156.5981900062026-10-17 15:20: 97% — display, vol 15076156.5981900062026-10-17 15:40: 3% — display, vol 15076156.5981899982026-10-17 15:40: 97% — display, vol 15076156.5981899982026-10-17 16:00: 3% — display, vol 15076156.598192026-10-17 16:00: 97% — display, vol 15076156.598192026-10-17 16:20: 3% — display, vol 15076156.5981900022026-10-17 16:20: 97% — display, vol 15076156.5981900022026-10-17 16:40: 3% — display, vol 15076156.5981900022026-10-17 16:40: 97% — display, vol 15076156.5981900022026-10-17 17:00: 3% — display, vol 15076156.5981900082026-10-17 17:00: 97% — display, vol 15076156.5981900082026-10-17 17:20: 3% — display, vol 15076156.598189992026-10-17 17:20: 97% — display, vol 15076156.598189992026-10-17 17:40: 3% — display, vol 15076270.6659299882026-10-17 17:40: 97% — display, vol 15076270.6659299882026-10-17 18:00: 3% — display, vol 15076270.6659299882026-10-17 18:00: 97% — display, vol 15076270.6659299882026-10-17 18:20: 3% — display, vol 15076270.6659299942026-10-17 18:20: 97% — display, vol 15076270.6659299942026-10-17 18:40: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 18:40: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 19:00: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 19:00: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 19:16: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708552026-10-17 19:16: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708552026-10-17 19:35: 3% — display, vol 15077316.170854992026-10-17 19:35: 97% — display, vol 15077316.170854992026-10-17 19:56: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 19:56: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 20:16: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 20:16: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708550022026-10-17 20:35: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708552026-10-17 20:35: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708552026-10-17 20:55: 3% — display, vol 15077316.1708550062026-10-17 20:55: 97% — display, vol 15077316.1708550062026-10-17 01:202026-10-17 20:55
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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