Prediction markets
Native contract metadata with the latest observed quote. Prices are market-implied contract quotes, not certified probabilities or official forecasts.
Observed movement
Latest recorded quotes and the change across the observations we hold. Percentage points, not a forecast.
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
polymarket · 97.3% · +94.4 pp
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
polymarket · 85.3% · +69.8 pp
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
polymarket · 83.5% · +66.8 pp
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
polymarket · 95.0% · +90.1 pp
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
polymarket · 94.3% · +88.5 pp
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
polymarket · 98.0% · +96.1 pp
Political contracts
Cross-platform contracts are shown as related markets unless equivalence is approved.