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Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

95.0%

Change (observed window)

+90.0 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 01:20: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 01:20: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 01:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 01:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 02:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 02:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 02:20: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210162026-10-17 02:20: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210162026-10-17 02:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.599721012026-10-17 02:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.599721012026-10-17 03:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 03:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210132026-10-17 03:20: 5% — display, vol 12229750.599721012026-10-17 03:20: 95% — display, vol 12229750.599721012026-10-17 03:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997209982026-10-17 03:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997209982026-10-17 04:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 04:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 04:21: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997209982026-10-17 04:21: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997209982026-10-17 04:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997209942026-10-17 04:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997209942026-10-17 05:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997209962026-10-17 05:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997209962026-10-17 05:21: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 05:21: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 05:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997212026-10-17 05:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997212026-10-17 06:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 06:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 06:20: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 06:20: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 06:40: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 06:40: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210222026-10-17 07:00: 5% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 07:00: 95% — display, vol 12229750.5997210142026-10-17 07:20: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 07:20: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 07:40: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 07:40: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 08:00: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 08:00: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210152026-10-17 08:20: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210172026-10-17 08:20: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210172026-10-17 08:40: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210222026-10-17 08:40: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210222026-10-17 09:00: 5% — display, vol 12229756.259721022026-10-17 09:00: 95% — display, vol 12229756.259721022026-10-17 09:20: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210222026-10-17 09:20: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210222026-10-17 09:40: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210132026-10-17 09:40: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210132026-10-17 10:00: 5% — display, vol 12229756.2597210182026-10-17 10:00: 95% — display, vol 12229756.2597210182026-10-17 10:21: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630232026-10-17 10:21: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630232026-10-17 10:40: 5% — display, vol 12229762.568863022026-10-17 10:40: 95% — display, vol 12229762.568863022026-10-17 11:00: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630252026-10-17 11:00: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630252026-10-17 11:20: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630042026-10-17 11:20: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630042026-10-17 11:40: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 11:40: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 12:00: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688632026-10-17 12:00: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688632026-10-17 12:20: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 12:20: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 12:40: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630252026-10-17 12:40: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630252026-10-17 13:00: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 13:00: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 13:20: 5% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 13:20: 95% — display, vol 12229762.5688630162026-10-17 13:40: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630242026-10-17 13:40: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630242026-10-17 14:00: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630132026-10-17 14:00: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630132026-10-17 14:20: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 14:20: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 14:40: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630072026-10-17 14:40: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630072026-10-17 15:00: 5% — display, vol 12229770.778863022026-10-17 15:00: 95% — display, vol 12229770.778863022026-10-17 15:20: 5% — display, vol 12229770.778863022026-10-17 15:20: 95% — display, vol 12229770.778863022026-10-17 15:40: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 15:40: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 16:00: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630152026-10-17 16:00: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630152026-10-17 16:20: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 16:20: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630182026-10-17 16:40: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630032026-10-17 16:40: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630032026-10-17 17:00: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630222026-10-17 17:00: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630222026-10-17 17:20: 5% — display, vol 12229770.7788630222026-10-17 17:20: 95% — display, vol 12229770.7788630222026-10-17 17:40: 5% — display, vol 12229778.9888630232026-10-17 17:40: 95% — display, vol 12229778.9888630232026-10-17 18:00: 5% — display, vol 12229787.3288630232026-10-17 18:00: 95% — display, vol 12229787.3288630232026-10-17 18:20: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630152026-10-17 18:20: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630152026-10-17 18:40: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630232026-10-17 18:40: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630232026-10-17 19:00: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630212026-10-17 19:00: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630212026-10-17 19:16: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630252026-10-17 19:16: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630252026-10-17 19:35: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630212026-10-17 19:35: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630212026-10-17 19:56: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630172026-10-17 19:56: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630172026-10-17 20:16: 5% — display, vol 12229887.3288630152026-10-17 20:16: 95% — display, vol 12229887.3288630152026-10-17 20:35: 5% — display, vol 12229887.328863022026-10-17 20:35: 95% — display, vol 12229887.328863022026-10-17 20:55: 5% — display, vol 12229887.328863022026-10-17 20:55: 95% — display, vol 12229887.328863022026-10-17 01:202026-10-17 20:55
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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