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Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

98.0%

Change (observed window)

+96.1 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 02:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 02:20: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 02:20: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 02:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 02:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 03:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 03:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 03:20: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 03:20: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 03:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 03:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:21: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:21: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 04:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 05:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 05:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 05:21: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 05:21: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 05:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 05:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 06:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 06:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 06:20: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 06:20: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 06:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 06:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833472026-10-17 07:00: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 07:00: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470072026-10-17 07:20: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 07:20: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 07:40: 2% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 07:40: 98% — display, vol 18467740.2833470032026-10-17 08:00: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569460072026-10-17 08:00: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569460072026-10-17 08:20: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 08:20: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 08:40: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569462026-10-17 08:40: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569462026-10-17 09:00: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 09:00: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 09:20: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 09:20: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569460032026-10-17 09:40: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569460152026-10-17 09:40: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569460152026-10-17 10:00: 2% — display, vol 18467944.1569462026-10-17 10:00: 98% — display, vol 18467944.1569462026-10-17 10:21: 2% — display, vol 18467950.2731542026-10-17 10:21: 98% — display, vol 18467950.2731542026-10-17 10:40: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 10:40: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:00: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:00: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:20: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:20: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:40: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 11:40: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 12:00: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 12:00: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 12:20: 2% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 12:20: 98% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 12:40: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 12:40: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 13:00: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 13:00: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 13:20: 2% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 13:20: 98% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 13:40: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 13:40: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 14:00: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 14:00: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 14:20: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 14:20: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 14:40: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 14:40: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731540052026-10-17 15:00: 2% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 15:00: 98% — display, vol 18468950.2731542026-10-17 15:20: 2% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 15:20: 98% — display, vol 18468950.273154012026-10-17 15:40: 2% — display, vol 18468962.4993620072026-10-17 15:40: 98% — display, vol 18468962.4993620072026-10-17 16:00: 2% — display, vol 18468974.7255700042026-10-17 16:00: 98% — display, vol 18468974.7255700042026-10-17 16:20: 2% — display, vol 18468974.725570012026-10-17 16:20: 98% — display, vol 18468974.725570012026-10-17 16:40: 2% — display, vol 18468974.725572026-10-17 16:40: 98% — display, vol 18468974.725572026-10-17 17:00: 2% — display, vol 18468974.725572026-10-17 17:00: 98% — display, vol 18468974.725572026-10-17 17:20: 2% — display, vol 18468974.7255700042026-10-17 17:20: 98% — display, vol 18468974.7255700042026-10-17 17:40: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 17:40: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 18:00: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 18:00: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 18:20: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 18:20: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 18:40: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655699982026-10-17 18:40: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655699982026-10-17 19:00: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655699982026-10-17 19:00: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655699982026-10-17 19:16: 2% — display, vol 18468982.865572026-10-17 19:16: 98% — display, vol 18468982.865572026-10-17 19:35: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 19:35: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 19:56: 2% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 19:56: 98% — display, vol 18468982.8655700052026-10-17 20:16: 2% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 20:16: 98% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 20:35: 2% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 20:35: 98% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 20:55: 2% — display, vol 18471592.445572026-10-17 20:55: 98% — display, vol 18471592.445572026-10-17 21:15: 2% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 21:15: 98% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 21:35: 2% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 21:35: 98% — display, vol 18471592.4455700032026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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