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Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

98.1%

Change (observed window)

+96.3 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 2% — display, vol 34195531.053123012026-10-17 02:00: 98% — display, vol 34195531.053123012026-10-17 02:20: 2% — display, vol 34195531.0531232026-10-17 02:20: 98% — display, vol 34195531.0531232026-10-17 02:40: 2% — display, vol 34195537.9148450052026-10-17 02:40: 98% — display, vol 34195537.9148450052026-10-17 03:00: 2% — display, vol 34195542.749178012026-10-17 03:00: 98% — display, vol 34195542.749178012026-10-17 03:20: 2% — display, vol 34195598.889178012026-10-17 03:20: 98% — display, vol 34195598.889178012026-10-17 03:40: 2% — display, vol 34195782.552121992026-10-17 03:40: 98% — display, vol 34195782.552121992026-10-17 04:00: 2% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 04:00: 98% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 04:21: 2% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 04:21: 98% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 04:40: 2% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 04:40: 98% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 05:00: 2% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 05:00: 98% — display, vol 34195786.124176992026-10-17 05:21: 2% — display, vol 34195786.1241769942026-10-17 05:21: 98% — display, vol 34195786.1241769942026-10-17 05:40: 2% — display, vol 34195786.1241772026-10-17 05:40: 98% — display, vol 34195786.1241772026-10-17 06:00: 2% — display, vol 34195786.1241769942026-10-17 06:00: 98% — display, vol 34195786.1241769942026-10-17 06:20: 2% — display, vol 34195788.2117319852026-10-17 06:20: 98% — display, vol 34195788.2117319852026-10-17 06:40: 2% — display, vol 34195790.381731992026-10-17 06:40: 98% — display, vol 34195790.381731992026-10-17 07:00: 2% — display, vol 34195790.3817322026-10-17 07:00: 98% — display, vol 34195790.3817322026-10-17 07:20: 2% — display, vol 34195790.3817322026-10-17 07:20: 98% — display, vol 34195790.3817322026-10-17 07:40: 2% — display, vol 34195796.325232012026-10-17 07:40: 98% — display, vol 34195796.325232012026-10-17 08:00: 2% — display, vol 34195796.325231992026-10-17 08:00: 98% — display, vol 34195796.325231992026-10-17 08:20: 2% — display, vol 34195796.3252319842026-10-17 08:20: 98% — display, vol 34195796.3252319842026-10-17 08:40: 2% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 08:40: 98% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 09:00: 2% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 09:00: 98% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 09:20: 2% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 09:20: 98% — display, vol 34195797.394453992026-10-17 09:40: 2% — display, vol 34195797.404453992026-10-17 09:40: 98% — display, vol 34195797.404453992026-10-17 10:00: 2% — display, vol 34195797.4044539852026-10-17 10:00: 98% — display, vol 34195797.4044539852026-10-17 10:21: 2% — display, vol 34195804.593785992026-10-17 10:21: 98% — display, vol 34195804.593785992026-10-17 10:40: 2% — display, vol 34195805.083785992026-10-17 10:40: 98% — display, vol 34195805.083785992026-10-17 11:00: 2% — display, vol 34195805.083785952026-10-17 11:00: 98% — display, vol 34195805.083785952026-10-17 11:20: 2% — display, vol 34195806.643785992026-10-17 11:20: 98% — display, vol 34195806.643785992026-10-17 11:40: 2% — display, vol 34195812.373506992026-10-17 11:40: 98% — display, vol 34195812.373506992026-10-17 12:00: 2% — display, vol 34195812.6935072026-10-17 12:00: 98% — display, vol 34195812.6935072026-10-17 12:20: 2% — display, vol 34195812.693506992026-10-17 12:20: 98% — display, vol 34195812.693506992026-10-17 12:40: 2% — display, vol 34205512.6935069562026-10-17 12:40: 98% — display, vol 34205512.6935069562026-10-17 13:00: 2% — display, vol 34205514.6617842026-10-17 13:00: 98% — display, vol 34205514.6617842026-10-17 13:20: 2% — display, vol 34205514.6617842026-10-17 13:20: 98% — display, vol 34205514.6617842026-10-17 13:40: 2% — display, vol 34206033.915060962026-10-17 13:40: 98% — display, vol 34206033.915060962026-10-17 14:00: 2% — display, vol 34206046.125005012026-10-17 14:00: 98% — display, vol 34206046.125005012026-10-17 14:20: 2% — display, vol 34206046.125004982026-10-17 14:20: 98% — display, vol 34206046.125004982026-10-17 14:40: 2% — display, vol 34206046.125004992026-10-17 14:40: 98% — display, vol 34206046.125004992026-10-17 15:00: 2% — display, vol 34206046.825004992026-10-17 15:00: 98% — display, vol 34206046.825004992026-10-17 15:20: 2% — display, vol 34206049.489892982026-10-17 15:20: 98% — display, vol 34206049.489892982026-10-17 15:40: 2% — display, vol 34206219.138224992026-10-17 15:40: 98% — display, vol 34206219.138224992026-10-17 16:00: 2% — display, vol 34206399.1483349952026-10-17 16:00: 98% — display, vol 34206399.1483349952026-10-17 16:20: 2% — display, vol 34206399.148334982026-10-17 16:20: 98% — display, vol 34206399.148334982026-10-17 16:40: 2% — display, vol 34206399.1483349952026-10-17 16:40: 98% — display, vol 34206399.1483349952026-10-17 17:00: 2% — display, vol 34206401.2466120052026-10-17 17:00: 98% — display, vol 34206401.2466120052026-10-17 17:20: 2% — display, vol 34206401.246611952026-10-17 17:20: 98% — display, vol 34206401.246611952026-10-17 17:40: 2% — display, vol 34206409.466611962026-10-17 17:40: 98% — display, vol 34206409.466611962026-10-17 18:00: 2% — display, vol 34206409.466611962026-10-17 18:00: 98% — display, vol 34206409.466611962026-10-17 18:20: 2% — display, vol 34206409.4666119742026-10-17 18:20: 98% — display, vol 34206409.4666119742026-10-17 18:40: 2% — display, vol 34206409.646611992026-10-17 18:40: 98% — display, vol 34206409.646611992026-10-17 19:00: 2% — display, vol 34206409.646611982026-10-17 19:00: 98% — display, vol 34206409.646611982026-10-17 19:16: 2% — display, vol 34206409.646611982026-10-17 19:16: 98% — display, vol 34206409.646611982026-10-17 19:35: 2% — display, vol 34206409.646611952026-10-17 19:35: 98% — display, vol 34206409.646611952026-10-17 19:56: 2% — display, vol 34209263.654554992026-10-17 19:56: 98% — display, vol 34209263.654554992026-10-17 20:16: 2% — display, vol 34209269.164220992026-10-17 20:16: 98% — display, vol 34209269.164220992026-10-17 20:35: 2% — display, vol 34209269.164220982026-10-17 20:35: 98% — display, vol 34209269.164220982026-10-17 20:55: 2% — display, vol 34209271.149942982026-10-17 20:55: 98% — display, vol 34209271.149942982026-10-17 21:15: 2% — display, vol 34209271.859942992026-10-17 21:15: 98% — display, vol 34209271.859942992026-10-17 21:35: 2% — display, vol 34209271.8599432026-10-17 21:35: 98% — display, vol 34209271.8599432026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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