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Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

97.5%

Change (observed window)

+95.8 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 2% — display, vol 17739284.9462379922026-10-17 02:00: 98% — display, vol 17739284.9462379922026-10-17 02:20: 2% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 02:20: 98% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 02:40: 2% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 02:40: 98% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 03:00: 2% — display, vol 17739284.9462379962026-10-17 03:00: 98% — display, vol 17739284.9462379962026-10-17 03:20: 2% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 03:20: 98% — display, vol 17739284.946237992026-10-17 03:40: 2% — display, vol 17739284.9462379742026-10-17 03:40: 98% — display, vol 17739284.9462379742026-10-17 04:00: 2% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 04:00: 98% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 04:21: 2% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 04:21: 98% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 04:40: 2% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 04:40: 98% — display, vol 17739290.3214719782026-10-17 05:00: 2% — display, vol 17739294.8068829772026-10-17 05:00: 98% — display, vol 17739294.8068829772026-10-17 05:21: 2% — display, vol 17739294.8068829852026-10-17 05:21: 98% — display, vol 17739294.8068829852026-10-17 05:40: 2% — display, vol 17739295.596882992026-10-17 05:40: 98% — display, vol 17739295.596882992026-10-17 06:00: 2% — display, vol 17739395.5968829842026-10-17 06:00: 98% — display, vol 17739395.5968829842026-10-17 06:20: 2% — display, vol 17739395.5968829732026-10-17 06:20: 98% — display, vol 17739395.5968829732026-10-17 06:40: 2% — display, vol 17739395.5968829732026-10-17 06:40: 98% — display, vol 17739395.5968829732026-10-17 07:00: 2% — display, vol 17739405.427057012026-10-17 07:00: 98% — display, vol 17739405.427057012026-10-17 07:20: 2% — display, vol 17739405.4270569872026-10-17 07:20: 98% — display, vol 17739405.4270569872026-10-17 07:40: 2% — display, vol 17739406.3270569852026-10-17 07:40: 98% — display, vol 17739406.3270569852026-10-17 08:00: 2% — display, vol 17739406.327056982026-10-17 08:00: 98% — display, vol 17739406.327056982026-10-17 08:20: 2% — display, vol 17739408.0564089682026-10-17 08:20: 98% — display, vol 17739408.0564089682026-10-17 08:40: 2% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 08:40: 98% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 09:00: 2% — display, vol 17739409.8264089672026-10-17 09:00: 98% — display, vol 17739409.8264089672026-10-17 09:20: 2% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 09:20: 98% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 09:40: 2% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 09:40: 98% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 10:00: 2% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 10:00: 98% — display, vol 17739409.826408972026-10-17 10:21: 2% — display, vol 17739415.9301729722026-10-17 10:21: 98% — display, vol 17739415.9301729722026-10-17 10:40: 2% — display, vol 17739415.930172972026-10-17 10:40: 98% — display, vol 17739415.930172972026-10-17 11:00: 2% — display, vol 17739415.9301729952026-10-17 11:00: 98% — display, vol 17739415.9301729952026-10-17 11:20: 2% — display, vol 17739415.9301729952026-10-17 11:20: 98% — display, vol 17739415.9301729952026-10-17 11:40: 2% — display, vol 17739415.9301729872026-10-17 11:40: 98% — display, vol 17739415.9301729872026-10-17 12:00: 2% — display, vol 17739415.9301729872026-10-17 12:00: 98% — display, vol 17739415.9301729872026-10-17 12:20: 2% — display, vol 17739415.930172992026-10-17 12:20: 98% — display, vol 17739415.930172992026-10-17 12:40: 2% — display, vol 17739417.937466992026-10-17 12:40: 98% — display, vol 17739417.937466992026-10-17 13:00: 2% — display, vol 17739417.9374669862026-10-17 13:00: 98% — display, vol 17739417.9374669862026-10-17 13:20: 2% — display, vol 17739417.9374669832026-10-17 13:20: 98% — display, vol 17739417.9374669832026-10-17 13:40: 2% — display, vol 17739417.9374669942026-10-17 13:40: 98% — display, vol 17739417.9374669942026-10-17 14:00: 2% — display, vol 17739432.1785250052026-10-17 14:00: 98% — display, vol 17739432.1785250052026-10-17 14:20: 2% — display, vol 17739432.178524992026-10-17 14:20: 98% — display, vol 17739432.178524992026-10-17 14:40: 2% — display, vol 17739432.1785249862026-10-17 14:40: 98% — display, vol 17739432.1785249862026-10-17 15:00: 2% — display, vol 17739439.2985249942026-10-17 15:00: 98% — display, vol 17739439.2985249942026-10-17 15:20: 2% — display, vol 17739439.2985249872026-10-17 15:20: 98% — display, vol 17739439.2985249872026-10-17 15:40: 2% — display, vol 17739451.5022889862026-10-17 15:40: 98% — display, vol 17739451.5022889862026-10-17 16:00: 2% — display, vol 17739551.5022889932026-10-17 16:00: 98% — display, vol 17739551.5022889932026-10-17 16:20: 2% — display, vol 17739551.5022889822026-10-17 16:20: 98% — display, vol 17739551.5022889822026-10-17 16:40: 2% — display, vol 17740743.2322889862026-10-17 16:40: 98% — display, vol 17740743.2322889862026-10-17 17:00: 2% — display, vol 17740743.232288992026-10-17 17:00: 98% — display, vol 17740743.232288992026-10-17 17:20: 2% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 17:20: 98% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 17:40: 2% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 17:40: 98% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 18:00: 2% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 18:00: 98% — display, vol 17746038.1161359922026-10-17 18:20: 2% — display, vol 17746038.116135992026-10-17 18:20: 98% — display, vol 17746038.116135992026-10-17 18:40: 2% — display, vol 17746043.1886589752026-10-17 18:40: 98% — display, vol 17746043.1886589752026-10-17 19:00: 2% — display, vol 17746043.1886589752026-10-17 19:00: 98% — display, vol 17746043.1886589752026-10-17 19:16: 2% — display, vol 17746043.188658972026-10-17 19:16: 98% — display, vol 17746043.188658972026-10-17 19:35: 2% — display, vol 17746044.373515992026-10-17 19:35: 98% — display, vol 17746044.373515992026-10-17 19:56: 2% — display, vol 17746050.650867982026-10-17 19:56: 98% — display, vol 17746050.650867982026-10-17 20:16: 2% — display, vol 17746053.070867992026-10-17 20:16: 98% — display, vol 17746053.070867992026-10-17 20:35: 2% — display, vol 17746053.0708679852026-10-17 20:35: 98% — display, vol 17746053.0708679852026-10-17 20:55: 2% — display, vol 17746053.0708679852026-10-17 20:55: 98% — display, vol 17746053.0708679852026-10-17 21:15: 2% — display, vol 17746054.7908679842026-10-17 21:15: 98% — display, vol 17746054.7908679842026-10-17 21:35: 2% — display, vol 17746054.7908679882026-10-17 21:35: 98% — display, vol 17746054.7908679882026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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