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Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

99.9%

Change (observed window)

+99.7 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 0% — display, vol 38981048.136210042026-10-17 02:00: 100% — display, vol 38981048.136210042026-10-17 02:20: 0% — display, vol 38981049.6762100462026-10-17 02:20: 100% — display, vol 38981049.6762100462026-10-17 02:40: 0% — display, vol 38981049.6762100462026-10-17 02:40: 100% — display, vol 38981049.6762100462026-10-17 03:00: 0% — display, vol 38981049.676210052026-10-17 03:00: 100% — display, vol 38981049.676210052026-10-17 03:20: 0% — display, vol 38981049.676210052026-10-17 03:20: 100% — display, vol 38981049.676210052026-10-17 03:40: 0% — display, vol 38981049.676210022026-10-17 03:40: 100% — display, vol 38981049.676210022026-10-17 04:00: 0% — display, vol 38981054.929210012026-10-17 04:00: 100% — display, vol 38981054.929210012026-10-17 04:21: 0% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 04:21: 100% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 04:40: 0% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 04:40: 100% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 05:00: 0% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 05:00: 100% — display, vol 38981054.9292100152026-10-17 05:21: 0% — display, vol 38981054.9292100442026-10-17 05:21: 100% — display, vol 38981054.9292100442026-10-17 05:40: 0% — display, vol 38981055.839210042026-10-17 05:40: 100% — display, vol 38981055.839210042026-10-17 06:00: 0% — display, vol 38981055.83921012026-10-17 06:00: 100% — display, vol 38981055.83921012026-10-17 06:20: 0% — display, vol 38981055.839210012026-10-17 06:20: 100% — display, vol 38981055.839210012026-10-17 06:40: 0% — display, vol 38981061.3812100142026-10-17 06:40: 100% — display, vol 38981061.3812100142026-10-17 07:00: 0% — display, vol 38981069.964210042026-10-17 07:00: 100% — display, vol 38981069.964210042026-10-17 07:20: 0% — display, vol 38981074.725210052026-10-17 07:20: 100% — display, vol 38981074.725210052026-10-17 07:40: 0% — display, vol 38981079.649210042026-10-17 07:40: 100% — display, vol 38981079.649210042026-10-17 08:00: 0% — display, vol 38981083.38921012026-10-17 08:00: 100% — display, vol 38981083.38921012026-10-17 08:20: 0% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 08:20: 100% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 08:40: 0% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 08:40: 100% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 09:00: 0% — display, vol 38981086.4902100042026-10-17 09:00: 100% — display, vol 38981086.4902100042026-10-17 09:20: 0% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 09:20: 100% — display, vol 38981086.490210012026-10-17 09:40: 0% — display, vol 38981086.490210072026-10-17 09:40: 100% — display, vol 38981086.490210072026-10-17 10:00: 0% — display, vol 38981268.950210012026-10-17 10:00: 100% — display, vol 38981268.950210012026-10-17 10:21: 0% — display, vol 38981268.950210012026-10-17 10:21: 100% — display, vol 38981268.950210012026-10-17 10:40: 0% — display, vol 38981272.052210012026-10-17 10:40: 100% — display, vol 38981272.052210012026-10-17 11:00: 0% — display, vol 38981272.052210062026-10-17 11:00: 100% — display, vol 38981272.052210062026-10-17 11:20: 0% — display, vol 38981273.2622100862026-10-17 11:20: 100% — display, vol 38981273.2622100862026-10-17 11:40: 0% — display, vol 38981275.993210092026-10-17 11:40: 100% — display, vol 38981275.993210092026-10-17 12:00: 0% — display, vol 38981275.993210052026-10-17 12:00: 100% — display, vol 38981275.993210052026-10-17 12:20: 0% — display, vol 38981275.993210092026-10-17 12:20: 100% — display, vol 38981275.993210092026-10-17 12:40: 0% — display, vol 38981275.9932100552026-10-17 12:40: 100% — display, vol 38981275.9932100552026-10-17 13:00: 0% — display, vol 38981278.4352100342026-10-17 13:00: 100% — display, vol 38981278.4352100342026-10-17 13:20: 0% — display, vol 38981280.8152100442026-10-17 13:20: 100% — display, vol 38981280.8152100442026-10-17 13:40: 0% — display, vol 38981280.815210072026-10-17 13:40: 100% — display, vol 38981280.815210072026-10-17 14:00: 0% — display, vol 38981280.8152100442026-10-17 14:00: 100% — display, vol 38981280.8152100442026-10-17 14:20: 0% — display, vol 38981280.815210092026-10-17 14:20: 100% — display, vol 38981280.815210092026-10-17 14:40: 0% — display, vol 38981296.831210042026-10-17 14:40: 100% — display, vol 38981296.831210042026-10-17 15:00: 0% — display, vol 38981447.518210082026-10-17 15:00: 100% — display, vol 38981447.518210082026-10-17 15:20: 0% — display, vol 38981447.5182100462026-10-17 15:20: 100% — display, vol 38981447.5182100462026-10-17 15:40: 0% — display, vol 38981447.518210042026-10-17 15:40: 100% — display, vol 38981447.518210042026-10-17 16:00: 0% — display, vol 38981449.009210042026-10-17 16:00: 100% — display, vol 38981449.009210042026-10-17 16:20: 0% — display, vol 38981450.499210092026-10-17 16:20: 100% — display, vol 38981450.499210092026-10-17 16:40: 0% — display, vol 38981450.4992100452026-10-17 16:40: 100% — display, vol 38981450.4992100452026-10-17 17:00: 0% — display, vol 38981450.499210052026-10-17 17:00: 100% — display, vol 38981450.499210052026-10-17 17:20: 0% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 17:20: 100% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 17:40: 0% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 17:40: 100% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 18:00: 0% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 18:00: 100% — display, vol 38981450.499210072026-10-17 18:20: 0% — display, vol 38981451.540210082026-10-17 18:20: 100% — display, vol 38981451.540210082026-10-17 18:40: 0% — display, vol 38981452.540210012026-10-17 18:40: 100% — display, vol 38981452.540210012026-10-17 19:00: 0% — display, vol 38981454.171210022026-10-17 19:00: 100% — display, vol 38981454.171210022026-10-17 19:16: 0% — display, vol 38981454.171210032026-10-17 19:16: 100% — display, vol 38981454.171210032026-10-17 19:35: 0% — display, vol 38981454.1712100652026-10-17 19:35: 100% — display, vol 38981454.1712100652026-10-17 19:56: 0% — display, vol 38981756.9302100762026-10-17 19:56: 100% — display, vol 38981756.9302100762026-10-17 20:16: 0% — display, vol 38981756.930210052026-10-17 20:16: 100% — display, vol 38981756.930210052026-10-17 20:35: 0% — display, vol 38981761.852210092026-10-17 20:35: 100% — display, vol 38981761.852210092026-10-17 20:55: 0% — display, vol 38981761.85221012026-10-17 20:55: 100% — display, vol 38981761.85221012026-10-17 21:15: 0% — display, vol 38981763.9842100142026-10-17 21:15: 100% — display, vol 38981763.9842100142026-10-17 21:35: 0% — display, vol 38981765.304210052026-10-17 21:35: 100% — display, vol 38981765.304210052026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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