← Markets
polymarketopen

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

99.9%

Change (observed window)

+99.7 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 0% — display, vol 27512358.9947580022026-10-17 02:00: 100% — display, vol 27512358.9947580022026-10-17 02:20: 0% — display, vol 27512358.9947580022026-10-17 02:20: 100% — display, vol 27512358.9947580022026-10-17 02:40: 0% — display, vol 27512359.7647582026-10-17 02:40: 100% — display, vol 27512359.7647582026-10-17 03:00: 0% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 03:00: 100% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 03:20: 0% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 03:20: 100% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 03:40: 0% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 03:40: 100% — display, vol 27512364.1767580022026-10-17 04:00: 0% — display, vol 27512364.1767580142026-10-17 04:00: 100% — display, vol 27512364.1767580142026-10-17 04:21: 0% — display, vol 27512365.4977580122026-10-17 04:21: 100% — display, vol 27512365.4977580122026-10-17 04:40: 0% — display, vol 27512366.8177580132026-10-17 04:40: 100% — display, vol 27512366.8177580132026-10-17 05:00: 0% — display, vol 27512369.1387580152026-10-17 05:00: 100% — display, vol 27512369.1387580152026-10-17 05:21: 0% — display, vol 27512538.6227582026-10-17 05:21: 100% — display, vol 27512538.6227582026-10-17 05:40: 0% — display, vol 27512539.9127580082026-10-17 05:40: 100% — display, vol 27512539.9127580082026-10-17 06:00: 0% — display, vol 27512539.9127580042026-10-17 06:00: 100% — display, vol 27512539.9127580042026-10-17 06:20: 0% — display, vol 27512539.912758022026-10-17 06:20: 100% — display, vol 27512539.912758022026-10-17 06:40: 0% — display, vol 27512539.912758022026-10-17 06:40: 100% — display, vol 27512539.912758022026-10-17 07:00: 0% — display, vol 27512539.912758012026-10-17 07:00: 100% — display, vol 27512539.912758012026-10-17 07:20: 0% — display, vol 27512541.933758012026-10-17 07:20: 100% — display, vol 27512541.933758012026-10-17 07:40: 0% — display, vol 27512541.933758012026-10-17 07:40: 100% — display, vol 27512541.933758012026-10-17 08:00: 0% — display, vol 27512543.9547580032026-10-17 08:00: 100% — display, vol 27512543.9547580032026-10-17 08:20: 0% — display, vol 27512543.9547580152026-10-17 08:20: 100% — display, vol 27512543.9547580152026-10-17 08:40: 0% — display, vol 27512545.9757580162026-10-17 08:40: 100% — display, vol 27512545.9757580162026-10-17 09:00: 0% — display, vol 27512548.0367580172026-10-17 09:00: 100% — display, vol 27512548.0367580172026-10-17 09:20: 0% — display, vol 27512548.036758022026-10-17 09:20: 100% — display, vol 27512548.036758022026-10-17 09:40: 0% — display, vol 27512548.036758012026-10-17 09:40: 100% — display, vol 27512548.036758012026-10-17 10:00: 0% — display, vol 27512548.0367580132026-10-17 10:00: 100% — display, vol 27512548.0367580132026-10-17 10:21: 0% — display, vol 27512722.063758022026-10-17 10:21: 100% — display, vol 27512722.063758022026-10-17 10:40: 0% — display, vol 27512900.072758022026-10-17 10:40: 100% — display, vol 27512900.072758022026-10-17 11:00: 0% — display, vol 27512900.0727580342026-10-17 11:00: 100% — display, vol 27512900.0727580342026-10-17 11:20: 0% — display, vol 27512900.0727580042026-10-17 11:20: 100% — display, vol 27512900.0727580042026-10-17 11:40: 0% — display, vol 27512900.0727580042026-10-17 11:40: 100% — display, vol 27512900.0727580042026-10-17 12:00: 0% — display, vol 27512904.053758012026-10-17 12:00: 100% — display, vol 27512904.053758012026-10-17 12:20: 0% — display, vol 27512904.0537582026-10-17 12:20: 100% — display, vol 27512904.0537582026-10-17 12:40: 0% — display, vol 27513230.8847580372026-10-17 12:40: 100% — display, vol 27513230.8847580372026-10-17 13:00: 0% — display, vol 27513230.884758012026-10-17 13:00: 100% — display, vol 27513230.884758012026-10-17 13:20: 0% — display, vol 27513376.9477582026-10-17 13:20: 100% — display, vol 27513376.9477582026-10-17 13:40: 0% — display, vol 27513377.1977580382026-10-17 13:40: 100% — display, vol 27513377.1977580382026-10-17 14:00: 0% — display, vol 27513377.1977580082026-10-17 14:00: 100% — display, vol 27513377.1977580082026-10-17 14:20: 0% — display, vol 27513377.1977580042026-10-17 14:20: 100% — display, vol 27513377.1977580042026-10-17 14:40: 0% — display, vol 27513377.1977582026-10-17 14:40: 100% — display, vol 27513377.1977582026-10-17 15:00: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037580052026-10-17 15:00: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037580052026-10-17 15:20: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 15:20: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 15:40: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037579942026-10-17 15:40: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037579942026-10-17 16:00: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 16:00: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 16:20: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 16:20: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 16:40: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 16:40: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 17:00: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 17:00: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 17:20: 0% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 17:20: 100% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 17:40: 0% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 17:40: 100% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 18:00: 0% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 18:00: 100% — display, vol 27513870.703758042026-10-17 18:20: 0% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 18:20: 100% — display, vol 27513870.7037582026-10-17 18:40: 0% — display, vol 27514044.910758022026-10-17 18:40: 100% — display, vol 27514044.910758022026-10-17 19:00: 0% — display, vol 27514044.910758022026-10-17 19:00: 100% — display, vol 27514044.910758022026-10-17 19:16: 0% — display, vol 27514044.910758012026-10-17 19:16: 100% — display, vol 27514044.910758012026-10-17 19:35: 0% — display, vol 27514203.5397580452026-10-17 19:35: 100% — display, vol 27514203.5397580452026-10-17 19:56: 0% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 19:56: 100% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:16: 0% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:16: 100% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:35: 0% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:35: 100% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:55: 0% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 20:55: 100% — display, vol 27514208.1417580022026-10-17 21:15: 0% — display, vol 27514210.1827580152026-10-17 21:15: 100% — display, vol 27514210.1827580152026-10-17 21:35: 0% — display, vol 27514210.1827580032026-10-17 21:35: 100% — display, vol 27514210.1827580032026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

View on polymarket →Trading enabled: yes