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Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

99.9%

Change (observed window)

+99.7 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 0% — display, vol 34220251.589860032026-10-17 02:00: 100% — display, vol 34220251.589860032026-10-17 02:20: 0% — display, vol 34220251.589860032026-10-17 02:20: 100% — display, vol 34220251.589860032026-10-17 02:40: 0% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 02:40: 100% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 03:00: 0% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 03:00: 100% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 03:20: 0% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 03:20: 100% — display, vol 34220255.960860032026-10-17 03:40: 0% — display, vol 34220255.9608600142026-10-17 03:40: 100% — display, vol 34220255.9608600142026-10-17 04:00: 0% — display, vol 34220627.995860032026-10-17 04:00: 100% — display, vol 34220627.995860032026-10-17 04:21: 0% — display, vol 34220628.3558600252026-10-17 04:21: 100% — display, vol 34220628.3558600252026-10-17 04:40: 0% — display, vol 34220631.496860032026-10-17 04:40: 100% — display, vol 34220631.496860032026-10-17 05:00: 0% — display, vol 34220631.496860032026-10-17 05:00: 100% — display, vol 34220631.496860032026-10-17 05:21: 0% — display, vol 34220631.496860022026-10-17 05:21: 100% — display, vol 34220631.496860022026-10-17 05:40: 0% — display, vol 34220634.767860032026-10-17 05:40: 100% — display, vol 34220634.767860032026-10-17 06:00: 0% — display, vol 34220636.788860032026-10-17 06:00: 100% — display, vol 34220636.788860032026-10-17 06:20: 0% — display, vol 34220658.7098600342026-10-17 06:20: 100% — display, vol 34220658.7098600342026-10-17 06:40: 0% — display, vol 34220668.699860042026-10-17 06:40: 100% — display, vol 34220668.699860042026-10-17 07:00: 0% — display, vol 34220681.809860032026-10-17 07:00: 100% — display, vol 34220681.809860032026-10-17 07:20: 0% — display, vol 34220685.851860032026-10-17 07:20: 100% — display, vol 34220685.851860032026-10-17 07:40: 0% — display, vol 34220687.872860042026-10-17 07:40: 100% — display, vol 34220687.872860042026-10-17 08:00: 0% — display, vol 34220868.472860032026-10-17 08:00: 100% — display, vol 34220868.472860032026-10-17 08:20: 0% — display, vol 34220868.472860042026-10-17 08:20: 100% — display, vol 34220868.472860042026-10-17 08:40: 0% — display, vol 34220868.472860042026-10-17 08:40: 100% — display, vol 34220868.472860042026-10-17 09:00: 0% — display, vol 34220870.443860032026-10-17 09:00: 100% — display, vol 34220870.443860032026-10-17 09:20: 0% — display, vol 34221029.292860042026-10-17 09:20: 100% — display, vol 34221029.292860042026-10-17 09:40: 0% — display, vol 34221188.421860032026-10-17 09:40: 100% — display, vol 34221188.421860032026-10-17 10:00: 0% — display, vol 34221190.473860032026-10-17 10:00: 100% — display, vol 34221190.473860032026-10-17 10:21: 0% — display, vol 34221190.473860032026-10-17 10:21: 100% — display, vol 34221190.473860032026-10-17 10:40: 0% — display, vol 34221192.693860032026-10-17 10:40: 100% — display, vol 34221192.693860032026-10-17 11:00: 0% — display, vol 34221192.693860072026-10-17 11:00: 100% — display, vol 34221192.693860072026-10-17 11:20: 0% — display, vol 34221199.086860032026-10-17 11:20: 100% — display, vol 34221199.086860032026-10-17 11:40: 0% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 11:40: 100% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 12:00: 0% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 12:00: 100% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 12:20: 0% — display, vol 34221204.286860032026-10-17 12:20: 100% — display, vol 34221204.286860032026-10-17 12:40: 0% — display, vol 34221204.286860072026-10-17 12:40: 100% — display, vol 34221204.286860072026-10-17 13:00: 0% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 13:00: 100% — display, vol 34221204.2868600342026-10-17 13:20: 0% — display, vol 34221204.286860022026-10-17 13:20: 100% — display, vol 34221204.286860022026-10-17 13:40: 0% — display, vol 34221204.286860062026-10-17 13:40: 100% — display, vol 34221204.286860062026-10-17 14:00: 0% — display, vol 34221204.286860022026-10-17 14:00: 100% — display, vol 34221204.286860022026-10-17 14:20: 0% — display, vol 34221230.312860032026-10-17 14:20: 100% — display, vol 34221230.312860032026-10-17 14:40: 0% — display, vol 34221230.312860032026-10-17 14:40: 100% — display, vol 34221230.312860032026-10-17 15:00: 0% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 15:00: 100% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 15:20: 0% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 15:20: 100% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 15:40: 0% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 15:40: 100% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 16:00: 0% — display, vol 34221258.473860022026-10-17 16:00: 100% — display, vol 34221258.473860022026-10-17 16:20: 0% — display, vol 34221258.473860032026-10-17 16:20: 100% — display, vol 34221258.473860032026-10-17 16:40: 0% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 16:40: 100% — display, vol 34221258.4738600252026-10-17 17:00: 0% — display, vol 34221258.473860032026-10-17 17:00: 100% — display, vol 34221258.473860032026-10-17 17:20: 0% — display, vol 34221258.473860072026-10-17 17:20: 100% — display, vol 34221258.473860072026-10-17 17:40: 0% — display, vol 34221258.473860072026-10-17 17:40: 100% — display, vol 34221258.473860072026-10-17 18:00: 0% — display, vol 34221261.174860072026-10-17 18:00: 100% — display, vol 34221261.174860072026-10-17 18:20: 0% — display, vol 34221261.174860032026-10-17 18:20: 100% — display, vol 34221261.174860032026-10-17 18:40: 0% — display, vol 34221261.174860042026-10-17 18:40: 100% — display, vol 34221261.174860042026-10-17 19:00: 0% — display, vol 34221261.174860042026-10-17 19:00: 100% — display, vol 34221261.174860042026-10-17 19:16: 0% — display, vol 34221264.855860042026-10-17 19:16: 100% — display, vol 34221264.855860042026-10-17 19:35: 0% — display, vol 34221414.479860072026-10-17 19:35: 100% — display, vol 34221414.479860072026-10-17 19:56: 0% — display, vol 34221414.479860042026-10-17 19:56: 100% — display, vol 34221414.479860042026-10-17 20:16: 0% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 20:16: 100% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 20:35: 0% — display, vol 34221419.111860032026-10-17 20:35: 100% — display, vol 34221419.111860032026-10-17 20:55: 0% — display, vol 34221419.111860032026-10-17 20:55: 100% — display, vol 34221419.111860032026-10-17 21:15: 0% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 21:15: 100% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 21:35: 0% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 21:35: 100% — display, vol 34221419.111860022026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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