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Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

98.6%

Change (observed window)

+97.2 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 1% — display, vol 52910852.4112080262026-10-17 02:00: 99% — display, vol 52910852.4112080262026-10-17 02:20: 2% — display, vol 52910852.411208052026-10-17 02:20: 98% — display, vol 52910852.411208052026-10-17 02:40: 2% — display, vol 52910852.411208032026-10-17 02:40: 98% — display, vol 52910852.411208032026-10-17 03:00: 2% — display, vol 52910852.411208032026-10-17 03:00: 98% — display, vol 52910852.411208032026-10-17 03:20: 2% — display, vol 52910862.349361042026-10-17 03:20: 98% — display, vol 52910862.349361042026-10-17 03:40: 2% — display, vol 52910862.3493610552026-10-17 03:40: 98% — display, vol 52910862.3493610552026-10-17 04:00: 2% — display, vol 52910862.939361042026-10-17 04:00: 98% — display, vol 52910862.939361042026-10-17 04:21: 2% — display, vol 52910862.9393610662026-10-17 04:21: 98% — display, vol 52910862.9393610662026-10-17 04:40: 2% — display, vol 52910862.939361062026-10-17 04:40: 98% — display, vol 52910862.939361062026-10-17 05:00: 2% — display, vol 52910862.939361062026-10-17 05:00: 98% — display, vol 52910862.939361062026-10-17 05:21: 2% — display, vol 52911038.017862026-10-17 05:21: 98% — display, vol 52911038.017862026-10-17 05:40: 2% — display, vol 52911041.3593980152026-10-17 05:40: 98% — display, vol 52911041.3593980152026-10-17 06:00: 2% — display, vol 52911086.1193980652026-10-17 06:00: 98% — display, vol 52911086.1193980652026-10-17 06:20: 1% — display, vol 52911087.409398032026-10-17 06:20: 99% — display, vol 52911087.409398032026-10-17 06:40: 2% — display, vol 52911752.8575630262026-10-17 06:40: 98% — display, vol 52911752.8575630262026-10-17 07:00: 1% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 07:00: 99% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 07:20: 1% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 07:20: 99% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 07:40: 1% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 07:40: 99% — display, vol 52911909.4672290162026-10-17 08:00: 1% — display, vol 52911911.499312062026-10-17 08:00: 99% — display, vol 52911911.499312062026-10-17 08:20: 2% — display, vol 52912073.320228012026-10-17 08:20: 98% — display, vol 52912073.320228012026-10-17 08:40: 1% — display, vol 52912073.3202280252026-10-17 08:40: 99% — display, vol 52912073.3202280252026-10-17 09:00: 2% — display, vol 52912221.140228022026-10-17 09:00: 99% — display, vol 52912221.140228022026-10-17 09:20: 1% — display, vol 52912367.1402280262026-10-17 09:20: 99% — display, vol 52912367.1402280262026-10-17 09:40: 1% — display, vol 52912367.1402282026-10-17 09:40: 99% — display, vol 52912367.1402282026-10-17 10:00: 2% — display, vol 52912368.315458022026-10-17 10:00: 98% — display, vol 52912368.315458022026-10-17 10:21: 1% — display, vol 52912573.645624032026-10-17 10:21: 99% — display, vol 52912573.645624032026-10-17 10:40: 2% — display, vol 52912578.967540022026-10-17 10:40: 99% — display, vol 52912578.967540022026-10-17 11:00: 1% — display, vol 52912578.9675400562026-10-17 11:00: 99% — display, vol 52912578.9675400562026-10-17 11:20: 1% — display, vol 52912578.967540062026-10-17 11:20: 99% — display, vol 52912578.967540062026-10-17 11:40: 1% — display, vol 52912724.967540072026-10-17 11:40: 99% — display, vol 52912724.967540072026-10-17 12:00: 2% — display, vol 52912724.967540012026-10-17 12:00: 99% — display, vol 52912724.967540012026-10-17 12:20: 2% — display, vol 52912724.967540062026-10-17 12:20: 99% — display, vol 52912724.967540062026-10-17 12:40: 2% — display, vol 52912725.117540062026-10-17 12:40: 98% — display, vol 52912725.117540062026-10-17 13:00: 1% — display, vol 52913183.487844012026-10-17 13:00: 99% — display, vol 52913183.487844012026-10-17 13:20: 2% — display, vol 52913183.487844012026-10-17 13:20: 99% — display, vol 52913183.487844012026-10-17 13:40: 1% — display, vol 52913183.487844052026-10-17 13:40: 99% — display, vol 52913183.487844052026-10-17 14:00: 2% — display, vol 52913190.5728650242026-10-17 14:00: 99% — display, vol 52913190.5728650242026-10-17 14:20: 2% — display, vol 52913190.5728650842026-10-17 14:20: 99% — display, vol 52913190.5728650842026-10-17 14:40: 2% — display, vol 52913190.572865032026-10-17 14:40: 99% — display, vol 52913190.572865032026-10-17 15:00: 2% — display, vol 52913197.642865082026-10-17 15:00: 98% — display, vol 52913197.642865082026-10-17 15:20: 2% — display, vol 52913199.252177042026-10-17 15:20: 98% — display, vol 52913199.252177042026-10-17 15:40: 2% — display, vol 52913200.852177032026-10-17 15:40: 98% — display, vol 52913200.852177032026-10-17 16:00: 2% — display, vol 52913200.8521770242026-10-17 16:00: 98% — display, vol 52913200.8521770242026-10-17 16:20: 2% — display, vol 52913334.418593082026-10-17 16:20: 99% — display, vol 52913334.418593082026-10-17 16:40: 1% — display, vol 52913334.418593032026-10-17 16:40: 99% — display, vol 52913334.418593032026-10-17 17:00: 2% — display, vol 52913350.6057590252026-10-17 17:00: 99% — display, vol 52913350.6057590252026-10-17 17:20: 1% — display, vol 52913350.605759042026-10-17 17:20: 99% — display, vol 52913350.605759042026-10-17 17:40: 1% — display, vol 52913361.678592042026-10-17 17:40: 99% — display, vol 52913361.678592042026-10-17 18:00: 1% — display, vol 52913361.678592042026-10-17 18:00: 99% — display, vol 52913361.678592042026-10-17 18:20: 1% — display, vol 52913361.6785920862026-10-17 18:20: 99% — display, vol 52913361.6785920862026-10-17 18:40: 1% — display, vol 52913534.606175032026-10-17 18:40: 99% — display, vol 52913534.606175032026-10-17 19:00: 1% — display, vol 52913693.313425032026-10-17 19:00: 99% — display, vol 52913693.313425032026-10-17 19:16: 1% — display, vol 52913693.313425022026-10-17 19:16: 99% — display, vol 52913693.313425022026-10-17 19:35: 1% — display, vol 52913693.3134250342026-10-17 19:35: 99% — display, vol 52913693.3134250342026-10-17 19:56: 1% — display, vol 52913693.313425082026-10-17 19:56: 99% — display, vol 52913693.313425082026-10-17 20:16: 1% — display, vol 52913693.3134250342026-10-17 20:16: 99% — display, vol 52913693.3134250342026-10-17 20:35: 1% — display, vol 52913694.8128860742026-10-17 20:35: 99% — display, vol 52913694.8128860742026-10-17 20:55: 1% — display, vol 52913694.8128860742026-10-17 20:55: 99% — display, vol 52913694.8128860742026-10-17 21:15: 1% — display, vol 52913694.8128860152026-10-17 21:15: 99% — display, vol 52913694.8128860152026-10-17 21:35: 1% — display, vol 52913694.812886032026-10-17 21:35: 99% — display, vol 52913694.812886032026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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