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Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

99.9%

Change (observed window)

+99.7 pp

Observations

120

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 120 observations shown.

Price history for Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-17 02:00: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364982026-10-17 02:00: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364982026-10-17 02:20: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364982026-10-17 02:20: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364982026-10-17 02:40: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364972026-10-17 02:40: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364972026-10-17 03:00: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364962026-10-17 03:00: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364962026-10-17 03:20: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364962026-10-17 03:20: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364962026-10-17 03:40: 0% — display, vol 42929018.421364992026-10-17 03:40: 100% — display, vol 42929018.421364992026-10-17 04:00: 0% — display, vol 42929021.362364922026-10-17 04:00: 100% — display, vol 42929021.362364922026-10-17 04:21: 0% — display, vol 42929021.362364962026-10-17 04:21: 100% — display, vol 42929021.362364962026-10-17 04:40: 0% — display, vol 42929021.842364972026-10-17 04:40: 100% — display, vol 42929021.842364972026-10-17 05:00: 0% — display, vol 42929021.842364972026-10-17 05:00: 100% — display, vol 42929021.842364972026-10-17 05:21: 0% — display, vol 42929021.842364932026-10-17 05:21: 100% — display, vol 42929021.842364932026-10-17 05:40: 0% — display, vol 42929022.903364982026-10-17 05:40: 100% — display, vol 42929022.903364982026-10-17 06:00: 0% — display, vol 42929023.9733650762026-10-17 06:00: 100% — display, vol 42929023.9733650762026-10-17 06:20: 0% — display, vol 42929023.9733649342026-10-17 06:20: 100% — display, vol 42929023.9733649342026-10-17 06:40: 0% — display, vol 42929023.973364952026-10-17 06:40: 100% — display, vol 42929023.973364952026-10-17 07:00: 0% — display, vol 42929023.973364982026-10-17 07:00: 100% — display, vol 42929023.973364982026-10-17 07:20: 0% — display, vol 42929025.9943649842026-10-17 07:20: 100% — display, vol 42929025.9943649842026-10-17 07:40: 0% — display, vol 42929025.9943652026-10-17 07:40: 100% — display, vol 42929025.9943652026-10-17 08:00: 0% — display, vol 42929038.446365072026-10-17 08:00: 100% — display, vol 42929038.446365072026-10-17 08:20: 0% — display, vol 42929068.2753649352026-10-17 08:20: 100% — display, vol 42929068.2753649352026-10-17 08:40: 0% — display, vol 42929071.856364952026-10-17 08:40: 100% — display, vol 42929071.856364952026-10-17 09:00: 0% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 09:00: 100% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 09:20: 0% — display, vol 42929114.136364942026-10-17 09:20: 100% — display, vol 42929114.136364942026-10-17 09:40: 0% — display, vol 42929114.136364952026-10-17 09:40: 100% — display, vol 42929114.136364952026-10-17 10:00: 0% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 10:00: 100% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 10:21: 0% — display, vol 42929114.136364942026-10-17 10:21: 100% — display, vol 42929114.136364942026-10-17 10:40: 0% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 10:40: 100% — display, vol 42929114.1363649442026-10-17 11:00: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761365142026-10-17 11:00: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761365142026-10-17 11:20: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761365072026-10-17 11:20: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761365072026-10-17 11:40: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761365082026-10-17 11:40: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761365082026-10-17 12:00: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761364992026-10-17 12:00: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761364992026-10-17 12:20: 0% — display, vol 42929285.7613650862026-10-17 12:20: 100% — display, vol 42929285.7613650862026-10-17 12:40: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761365122026-10-17 12:40: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761365122026-10-17 13:00: 0% — display, vol 42929285.761364992026-10-17 13:00: 100% — display, vol 42929285.761364992026-10-17 13:20: 0% — display, vol 42929437.686364942026-10-17 13:20: 100% — display, vol 42929437.686364942026-10-17 13:40: 0% — display, vol 42929596.375365122026-10-17 13:40: 100% — display, vol 42929596.375365122026-10-17 14:00: 0% — display, vol 42929751.122364982026-10-17 14:00: 100% — display, vol 42929751.122364982026-10-17 14:20: 0% — display, vol 42929751.1223650652026-10-17 14:20: 100% — display, vol 42929751.1223650652026-10-17 14:40: 0% — display, vol 42929751.122364992026-10-17 14:40: 100% — display, vol 42929751.122364992026-10-17 15:00: 0% — display, vol 42930177.724365062026-10-17 15:00: 100% — display, vol 42930177.724365062026-10-17 15:20: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 15:20: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 15:40: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 15:40: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 16:00: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724364972026-10-17 16:00: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724364972026-10-17 16:20: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724365062026-10-17 16:20: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724365062026-10-17 16:40: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724364982026-10-17 16:40: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724364982026-10-17 17:00: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 17:00: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724364992026-10-17 17:20: 0% — display, vol 42930178.724365122026-10-17 17:20: 100% — display, vol 42930178.724365122026-10-17 17:40: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208365132026-10-17 17:40: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208365132026-10-17 18:00: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208365132026-10-17 18:00: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208365132026-10-17 18:20: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208365062026-10-17 18:20: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208365062026-10-17 18:40: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208364942026-10-17 18:40: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208364942026-10-17 19:00: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208364952026-10-17 19:00: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208364952026-10-17 19:16: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208364952026-10-17 19:16: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208364952026-10-17 19:35: 0% — display, vol 42930348.208365122026-10-17 19:35: 100% — display, vol 42930348.208365122026-10-17 19:56: 0% — display, vol 42930350.2293650662026-10-17 19:56: 100% — display, vol 42930350.2293650662026-10-17 20:16: 0% — display, vol 42930350.229364972026-10-17 20:16: 100% — display, vol 42930350.229364972026-10-17 20:35: 0% — display, vol 42930350.2293650662026-10-17 20:35: 100% — display, vol 42930350.2293650662026-10-17 20:55: 0% — display, vol 42930350.229365072026-10-17 20:55: 100% — display, vol 42930350.229365072026-10-17 21:15: 0% — display, vol 42930350.229364952026-10-17 21:15: 100% — display, vol 42930350.229364952026-10-17 21:35: 0% — display, vol 42930350.2293649842026-10-17 21:35: 100% — display, vol 42930350.2293649842026-10-17 02:002026-10-17 21:35
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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