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Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This is a market-implied contract quote from polymarket, not a certified probability, forecast, or official result.

Latest quote

97.4%

Change (observed window)

+95.0 pp

Observations

6

Close time

2028-11-08T04:59:00.000Z

Price history

Each point is a recorded quote observation. Percentage points, latest 6 observations shown.

Price history for Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?100%50%0%2026-10-16 19:50: 2% — display, vol 10943603.0958809952026-10-16 19:50: 98% — display, vol 10943603.0958809952026-10-16 20:00: 2% — display, vol 10953761.0726809972026-10-16 20:00: 98% — display, vol 10953761.0726809972026-10-16 20:20: 3% — display, vol 10985925.4574632026-10-16 20:20: 97% — display, vol 10985925.4574632026-10-16 19:502026-10-16 20:20
Source: recorded provider quote snapshots. Missing/one-sided quotes are not interpolated.

Outcomes

Native outcome identifiers from the provider.

  • No—
  • Yes—

Contract terms

Settlement criteria as published by the provider.

Resolution source

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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